Business economists expect U.S. economic growth to slow this year and next, but they say the economy will avoid recession.

If it does, that will extend a record-breaking expansion already in its 11th year.

The latest survey by 53 forecasters with the National Association for Business Economics shows that they expect economic growth to slow from 2.9% last year to 2.3% in 2019 and 1.8% in 2020.

Despite worries over President Donald Trump's trade war with China, the economists put the odds of a recession starting at just 5% this year, 21% in the first half of 2020 and 43% by the end of next year.

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